Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts Using Information Theory
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts Using Information Theory
The problem of assessing the quality of an operational forecasting system that produces probabilistic forecasts is addressed using information theory. A measure of the quality of the forecasting scheme, based on the amount of a data compression it allows, is outlined. This measure, called ignorance, is a logarithmic scoring rule that is a modified version of relative entropy and can be calculat...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Monthly Weather Review
سال: 2002
ISSN: 0027-0644,1520-0493
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(2002)130<1653:epfuit>2.0.co;2